Category Archives: Cryptocurrency

BitCoin mass-adoption challenges

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Crypto currencies, specifically BitCoin, are touted as the next big thing in financial
services. A secured, encrypted, technologically advanced platform that can support
monetary transactions across the globe is a dream come true for a lot of financial
services innovators hoping for a borderless financial world. This wave of innovation,
while still nascent, bears a lot of advantages.

It’s important to note, though, that not everything is green in the realm of BitCoin. While
some disadvantages are obvious – exchange rate volatility and lack of sufficient market
making are two obvious ones – some are less obvious, and are sometimes mistakenly
presented as advantages by newbies to the industry. Specifically, I am referring to fraud
using or on the BitCoin platform, and misconceptions about its feasibility – while some
may think it is much safer than other means of payment, that is absolutely not the case.
With BitCoin’s no-recourse movement of funds, transactions are subject to two types of
fraud: supply side fraud, and social engineering. Their prevalence might hinder mass
adoption of crypto currencies and must be addresses by the ecosystem before those
can be used the proverbial “normals”, the majority of consumers.

When a consumer purchases online using a credit card, the merchant charging the card
isn’t protected from fraud the same way they would be if charging the card in the offline
world. No issuer, acquirer or card network provides any fraud protection and merchants
can easily be victims of stolen cards or “friendly fraud”, a term describing customers
making actual purchases then charging back alleging fraud, while keeping the goods.

Defending oneself from chargebacks is difficult for merchants and fraud constitutes a major line item in retailers’ financial statements. However chargebacks serve a purpose: they
protect consumers from fraudulent merchants, failure to provide service and other
issues. With no ability to reverse transactions, no consumer protection is possible,
hence more and more fraud is perpetrated by those who pretend to be merchants. As
merchants, they can sell a service or product while charging in advance, and never ship
the product (or never own it in the first place). Consumers who pay find themselves out
of their money and the product they were offered, with no ability to reverse a payment.
Thus, demand side fraud becomes much more appealing to fraudsters.

This lack of protection hurts consumer trust. It also amplifies the damage from each
fraud case. A single fraudster using a stolen credit card may shop for $1000 in stolen
goods; a single fraudulent shop can easily scam dozens and hundreds of consumers.

The other thing to consider is social engineering. Fraud wasn’t invented in the 20th
century nor is it dependent on credit cards. There is a reason why Western Union or
MoneyGram was and still is a favorite for 419-type (“Nigerian”) scams; it, too, has no
option to reverse a payment. Every complex system is as strong as its weakest link, and
BitCoin is no different; the human element is its biggest failure point. As the SEC brings
to trial a man accused of running a BitCoin ponzi scheme, it becomes obvious that no
encryption beats greed and no sophisticated technology beats lack of good judgement.
In that sense, BitCoin isn’t different than any other means of payment, for better or for
worse. It is just not any safer.

Crypto-currencies hold a big promise for a more sophisticated financial infrastructure,
but the discussion about them is still limited to a small group of techies. As the world of
those currencies expands to meet the average user, questions regarding consumer
protection and social engineering must be dealt with, otherwise BitCoin will fail to be
adopted. We cannot just trust the users to be sophisticated, as we have all consistently
demonstrated that as a crowd, we are not sophisticated at all. In a sense, the same lack
of a governing 3rd party guaranteeing at least some protection or recourse, justifiably
hailed as the platform’s greatest advantage, is also one of its biggest disadvantages.
That, too, needs to be a part of an informed discussion.

Why using Bitcoin is like abstinence, and other thoughts about cryptocurrency and financial systems

4 Replies

Elad Gil has this brilliant post titled “6 Startup Ideas Every Nerd Has” with a poignant explanation of how these are thought out. As someone who works on macine learning I can tell you that idea #2 repeats itself too often. I, too, have dabbled with ranting about ideas I hear too often. There is yet another type of ideas, though – ideas that are essentially interesting and good but that are too deep in geekdom to be relevant. Cryptocurrency is one of them.

If you work in payments you can’t get away from cryptocurrency, and its poster child Bitcoin. Every talk of fraud in payments draws scoffs from random commenters; Bitcoin will solve your fraud problems, they say. Irreversible, anonymous, plain and clear. Objecting responders talk of Bitcoin’s (lack of) merits as legal tender and the probability that governments will accept a legal tender they don’t control, if only for money laundering control. Both miss the point: Bitcoin isn’t a contender in the race to replace money. Claiming that Bitcoin solves fraud is like claiming that abstinence solves STDs; at zero participation from the general public, proliferation of fraud in Bitcoin is as futile and unadvantageous as being a sexually transmitted disease is in a world full of monks.

If everyone used Bitcoin, there would be ways to defraud people out of it; from Man In The Middle to 419/Nigerian Prince scam to simple MLM, scams and fraud in eCash are as old as eGold. The human factor is the weakest link, and no cryptocash will replace that. Furthermore, the barriers to entry into cryptocash usage, even if it could solve the problem of fraud, are too high, and prevent wide acceptance. The crypto-community likes this difficulty so much, cherishes it so, that wide adoption is impossible. If you disagree, have your mom mine me some bitcoins. I’ll pay more than the $42 they’re asking for in Mt Gox. You know what? Just have her read through the documentation and explain them back to someone who isn’t you.

Is the system broken? No doubt. The problem isn’t in the way legal tenders are minted, though, but in two other places: identity brokers and financial infrastructure.

The brokers – the card issuers – own the financial relationship and data to underwrite consumers for credit. That’s one major part of the financial equation that let financial institutions dictate the rules of the game both online and offline. If you undermine that relationship you get access to one of the most significant relationships consumers in the developed world have. That’s why I love short term credit schemes like Klarna and prepaid card services like Card.com; the first creates a financial relationship from thin air by extending credit in real time, and the second encourages consumers to deposit some of their paycheck directly to their prepaid-supporting account. Both have the ability to disintermediate issuers.

The financial infrastructure is where I actually think cryptocurrency can be helpful. No matter what you do you can’t run away from the card networks or clearing houses; they are the backbone of money movement. Every dollar moving around ends up paying tribute to the eternal gods of monetary movement. What if Bitcoin didn’t try to become a replacement for money consumers are using, but rather create the first true cloud based clearing house, where newly created financial institutions trade reserves and foreign currency using the Internet, but securely, rather than using the current broken systems? That for me is a big promise, and one huge problem no one’s tackling. What it would require is large Bitcoin liquidity reserves, backed by real currency, and with a stable enough exchange rate to plan a 12 to 18 months window. If new lenders could borrow in Bitcoin from a central Bitcoin exchange, its way to becoming a de-facto backbone of a new breed of financial transactions will be much more probable. So far, it doesn’t seem remotely as available and stable as required.

The payments and personal finance world is broken, but it enjoys a distorted local maximum that a lot of energy is required to move away from. Simply waving an interesting idea at the public doesn’t work. Like flash players weren’t as popular before the iPod and Napster, while changing the music industry, crashed as a business, cryptocash is a precursor to something, but is still not it. It can go somewhere, but is still not there. We need to recognize that to be able to move ahead.